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Optimizer's curse

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2NunoSempere
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When choosing an option from a set of options with uncertain utility, an optimizer will tend to overestimate the utility of their chosen option. This phenomenon is known as the optimizer's curse.

Posts tagged Optimizer's curse

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94
[Link] The Optimizer's Curse & Wrong-Way Reductions
Chris Smith
· · 1m read
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How much do you believe your results?
Eric Neyman
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Potential downsides of using explicit probabilities
MichaelA🔸
· · 22m read
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Potential downsides of using explicit probabilities
MichaelA🔸
· · 22m read
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Potential downsides of using explicit probabilities
MichaelA🔸
· · 22m read
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The Multi-Class Optimizer's Curse
FeelingSentient
· · 2m read
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List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading
saulius
· · 15m read
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List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading
saulius
· · 15m read
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Controlling for a thinker’s big idea
Vasco Grilo🔸
· · 9m read
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Don't Over-Optimize Things
Owen Cotton-Barratt
· · 5m read
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When should EAs allocate funding randomly? An inconclusive literature review.
Max_Daniel
· · 50m read
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Why GiveWell should use complete uncertainty quantification
Tanae
· · 1m read
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Sequence thinking vs. cluster thinking
GiveWell
· · 33m read
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Widespread values brainstorming
brb243
· · 1m read
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