AI forecasting

Applied to Whose track record of AI predictions would you like to see evaluated? 4d ago

Applied to AGI Cannot Be Predicted From Real Interest Rates 5d ago

Applied to Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified 6d ago

Applied to AI companies are unlikely to make high-assurance safety cases if timelines are short 10d ago

Applied to What are the differences between AGI, transformative AI, and superintelligence? 10d ago

Applied to Predict 2025 AI capabilities (by Sunday) 18d ago

Applied to AI Futures 20d ago

Applied to Is AI Hitting a Wall or Moving Faster Than Ever? 23d ago

Applied to AI Forecasting Benchmark: Congratulations to Q4 Winners + Q1 Practice Questions Open 24d ago

Applied to Experts' AI timelines are longer than you have been told? 24d ago

Applied to When do experts think human-level AI will be created? 1mo ago

Applied to We are in a New Paradigm of AI Progress - OpenAI's o3 model makes huge gains on the toughest AI benchmarks in the world 1mo ago

Applied to Orienting to 3 year AGI timelines 1mo ago

Applied to Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool 1mo ago

Applied to Measuring AI-Driven Risk with Stock Prices (Susana Campos-Martins) 2mo ago

Applied to Epoch AI is hiring for multiple roles 2mo ago

Applied to One, perhaps underrated, AI risk. 2mo ago