President Trump's second term has brought sweeping policy overhauls in international aid, trade agreements, and immigration enforcement, alongside growing tensions with the judiciary. These rapid changes have increased uncertainty about the US's future and its role on the world stage. Forecasting can help ground our thinking about the likely impacts of the Trump administration, helping to deliver greater clarity to the public on key issues by transforming competing narratives into quantifiable, testable predictions. 

Make your predictions in Metaculus's POTUS Predictions Tournament and compete for $15,000 on questions like:

We’ll be adding more questions in waves launching on May 1 and June 1, as well as topical questions as they occur over the course of the tournament. 

For questions focused on international aid, see the USAID Outlook series.

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