Effective Altruism ForumTopics
EA Forum

Hide table of contents

Arb

EditHistory
Discussion (0)
EditHistory
Discussion (0)
Random Topic
Contributors
2Pablo
2Gavin
Parent Topic: Forecasting
You are viewing revision 1.4.0, last edited by Gavin

Arb is a research consultancy that conducts original research, evidence reviews, and large-scale data pipelines primarily in forecasting, artificial intelligence, and pandemic preparedness.

History

Arb was founded in 2021 by Misha Yagudin and Gavin Leech.

...

(Read more)

Posts tagged Arb

Relevance
205
Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
· · 4m read
40
2
40
2
186
Experimental longtermism: theory needs data
Jan_Kulveit
· · 5m read
9
2
9
2
170
What I learned from the criticism contest
Gavin
· · 7m read
32
2
32
2
113
We can do better than argmax
Jan_Kulveit
· · 13m read
36
2
36
2
87
Impact Assessment of AI Safety Camp (Arb Research)
Sam Holton
· · 13m read
23
2
23
2
67
The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
· · 14m read
2
2
2
2
64
[Linkpost] Dan Luu: Futurist prediction methods and accuracy
Linch
· · 5m read
7
2
7
2
47
Misha Yagudin and Ozzie Gooen Discuss LLMs and Effective Altruism
Ozzie Gooen
· · 17m read
3
2
3
2
46
Iqisa: A Library For Handling Forecasting Datasets
niplav
· · 2m read
4
2
4
2
42
Beware popular discussions of AI "sentience"
David Mathers🔸
· · 10m read
6
2
6
2
36
Governments Might Prefer Bringing Resources Back to the Solar System Rather than Space Settlement in Order to Maintain Control, Given that Governing Interstellar Settlements Looks Almost Impossible
David Mathers🔸
· · 6m read
4
2
4
2
36
Questions about and Objections to  'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
David Mathers🔸
· · 9m read
3
2
3
2
35
Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
David Mathers🔸
· · 9m read
1
2
1
2
34
Metaculus Launches Future of AI Series, Based on Research Questions by Arb Research
christian
· · 1m read
0
2
0
2