DR

david_reinstein

Founder and Co-Director @ The Unjournal
3728 karmaJoined Working (15+ years)Monson, MA, USA

Bio

See davidreinstein.org

I'm the Founder and Co-director of The Unjournal;. W  organize and fund public journal-independent feedback, rating, and evaluation of hosted papers and dynamically-presented research projects. We will focus on work that is highly relevant to global priorities (especially in economics, social science, and impact evaluation). We will encourage better research by making it easier for researchers to get feedback and credible ratings on their work.


Previously I was a Senior Economist at Rethink Priorities, and before that n Economics lecturer/professor for 15 years.

I'm  working to impact EA fundraising and marketing; see https://bit.ly/eamtt

And projects bridging EA, academia, and open science.. see bit.ly/eaprojects

My previous and ongoing research focuses on determinants and motivators of charitable giving (propensity, amounts, and 'to which cause?'), and drivers of/barriers to effective giving, as well as the impact of pro-social behavior and social preferences on market contexts.

Podcasts: "Found in the Struce" https://anchor.fm/david-reinstein

and the EA Forum podcast: https://anchor.fm/ea-forum-podcast (co-founder, regular reader)

Twitter: @givingtools

Comments
767

Topic contributions
9

Project Idea: 'Cost to save a life' interactive calculator promotion


What about making and promoting a ‘how much does it cost to save a life’ quiz and calculator.

 This could be adjustable/customizable (in my country, around the world, of an infant/child/adult, counting ‘value added life years’ etc.) … and trying to make it go viral (or at least bacterial) as in the ‘how rich am I’ calculator? 


The case 

  1. People might really be interested in this… it’s super-compelling (a bit click-baity, maybe, but the payoff is not click bait)!
  2. May make some news headlines too (it’s an “easy story” for media people, asks a question people can engage with, etc. … ’how much does it cost to save a life? find out after the break!)
  3. if people do think it’s much cheaper than it is, as some studies suggest, it would probably be good to change this conception… to help us build a reality-based impact-based evidence-based community and society of donors
  4. similarly, it could get people thinking about ‘how to really measure impact’ --> consider EA-aligned evaluations more seriously

While GiveWell has a page with a lot of tech details, but it’s not compelling or interactive  in the way I suggest above, and I doubt  they market it heavily.

GWWC probably doesn't have the design/engineering time for this (not to mention refining this for accuracy and communication).  But if someone else (UX design, research support, IT) could do the legwork I think they might be very happy to host it. 

It could also mesh well with academic-linked research so I may have  some ‘Meta academic support ads’ funds that could work with this.
 

Tags/backlinks (~testing out this new feature) 
@GiveWell  @Giving What We Can
Projects I'd like to see 

EA Projects I'd Like to See 
 Idea: Curated database of quick-win tangible, attributable projects 

Perhaps someone would want to champion this and get EA ~Meta or EA community funds to cover the cost of their time and tech in maintaining this? As @Midtermist12 says, I think the investment would be worth it, both for the use of this info itself, and for the knock-on effects for future collaboration. 

This seems potentially important for initiatives like @Brad West's Profit For Good initiative.  
A warm list for this ... Earning to give/EA people in relevant businesses. 

 

Nice. 

By the way how does this compare to the results of "Monetary incentives increase COVID-19 vaccinations" (Campos-Mercade et al)? Seems like the results here involved a similar sized incentive, but had larger effects?

Valuing vaccination

Using money as a motivation for the public to get vaccinated is controversial and has had mixed results in studies, few of which have been randomized trials. To test the effect of money as an incentive to obtain a vaccine, Campos-Mercade et al. set up a study in Sweden in 2021, when various age groups were first made eligible to receive the severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 vaccine (see the Perspective by Jecker). The effect of a small cash reward, around US $24, was compared with the effect of several behavioral nudges. The outcome of this preregistered, randomized clinical trial was that money had the power to increase participation by about 4 percentage points. Nudging and reminding didn’t seem to be deleterious and even had a small positive effect. Of course, the question of whether it is ethical to pay people to be vaccinated like this needs to be addressed. —CA

Abstract

The stalling of COVID-19 vaccination rates threatens public health. To increase vaccination rates, governments across the world are considering the use of monetary incentives. Here we present evidence about the effect of guaranteed payments on COVID-19 vaccination uptake. We ran a large preregistered randomized controlled trial (with 8286 participants) in Sweden and linked the data to population-wide administrative vaccination records. We found that modest monetary payments of 24 US dollars (200 Swedish kronor) increased vaccination rates by 4.2 percentage points (P = 0.005), from a baseline rate of 71.6%. By contrast, behavioral nudges increased stated intentions to become vaccinated but had only small and not statistically significant impacts on vaccination rates. The results highlight the potential of modest monetary incentives to raise vaccination rates.


 

Helpful but to disambiguat, that is a directory of professionals who want to do impactful work.

I am also looking to favour “earning to give” professionals willing to do non-impactful work.

Ala my “corporate bake sale” post and @Brad West Introducing the Profit for Good Blog: Transforming Business for Charity 

Eg I was looking for EA/earning to give lawyers and accountants to hire and had trouble finding them

That’s fair. But maybe hold onto the previous database if possible, in case the signup for this one is low and it needs a kickstart?

See the full protocol for this project in our knowledge base here.

28 Sep 2024 – fixed above link and link in post.

Linking an Unjournal.org evaluation (package here) of one of the papers mentioned in this article.

Akram et al. (2014) subsidized transport in rural villages in Bangladesh, which increased the proportion of households sending a migrant to a city by 30 percentage points.

For example, an RCT by Akram et al. (2014)[21] provided transport subsidies to treated villages in rural Bangladesh, which increased the proportion of households sending a migrant to a city by 30 percentage points (which persisted in follow-up years). While the individuals who moved saw benefits, so did those that remained, as agricultural wages in the treated villages increased by roughly 4-6 percent as more laborers left for the city[21]. By boosting benefits for non-movers, internal migration increases its impacts even further and bolsters the cost-effectiveness calculations.

From our evaluation manager's discussion:

Evidence Action shut down the charity No Lean Season (the precise intervention in this paper) partly because of "Mixed evidence of impact" (see GiveWell's report here).  But the decision was also partly due to particular problems (allegations of fraud and mismanagement by the implementing partner. Thus, we suspected there may still be a strong case that this could be a cost-effective intervention. The present paper reported substantial positive effects, and was heavily cited. Thus we believed it deserved more careful evaluation, and if there were substantial flaws, these should be publicly shared. 

[We only provided one evaluation]... Although we normally seek two or more strong evaluations, we struggled to find evaluators who could provide informed constructive criticism and appraisal. We might have persisted further, however…

After further consultation with an applied researcher in this area, we were advised that the GiveWell’s decision was more about issues having to do with the failure of the program to scale up, rather than its earlier performance as considered in the paper evaluated here. Follow-on work thus seems more relevant for further evaluation, such as “Delegation Risk and Implementation at Scale: Evidence from a Migration Loan Program in Bangladesh” (Mitchell et al, 2023) 

Footnote: Mobarak also wrote a nontechnical comment about the difficulties of scaling up interventions (largely based on his experience here).

Quick update on this:

The Airtable is still up. @Joe Rogero took it over and "it still forms the basis for the Alignment Ecosystem Development site, but the EA side of things is probably obsolete by now."

If someone wants to take over the 'EA side' of this project, perhaps work with me on it, perhaps moving it to Coda.io, let me know.  

Also, we should probably signal boost this a bit so others don't think 'someone else is doing it' (there was some post about 'don't fail quietly' I tried to link here but I can't find it).

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