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Thanks for the post!
What do you think about Open Philanthropy's grants in AI Alignment? (eg. https://www.openphilanthropy.org/grants/funding-for-ai-alignment-projects-working-with-deep-learning-systems/). Do you think the EV is positive?
And what do you think about 80,000 Hours recommending people to join big AI labs?
There's a big issue with semantics.
Most people would agree that an AI that automates ~99% of remote jobs is AGI, but Chollet disagrees because the AI might be "just memorizing".
The key thing is whether scaling will be enough to automate AI research, but unfortunately, they don't discuss this in the podcast.
Have you talked with someone from Ought/Elicit? It seems like they should be able to give you useful feedback.