Bit late to the party and mostly meandering from the footnote but I've been thinking about this as well. +1 for the reference to Liu Cixin's Three-Body problem series (Rememberance of Earth's Past). Warning mild spoilers below although I've tried to keep them to a minimum.
While the physics used were super sci-fi, this has been the best book series I've read that really made me 'feel' the concepts of Longtermism and how they related to x-risk on a planetary scale. Few thoughts:
Would it be a good idea to promote reading Liu Cixin's books on these merits above? How does it compare to other longtermist fiction for Instilling Cultural Longtermism?
I'm unsure about the tractability and desireability of a date-on-consititution-change. My major crux would be how much bipartisan support you could get.
The WHO has some good rankings of disease burden. They have different rankings for DALYs, YLLs and YLD. For example, back and neck pain is globally the leading cause of years lived with disability, but neonatal conditions and ischaemic heart disease cause the most DALYs. I imagine you could combine this with some other table that quantifies research effort and another which quantifies investment in that particular cause area.
Does anyone know of a good place to find them?
I'm noticing I don't have a very good mental model for this (if I assume you're interested primarily in maximising effective GHD donations). Would love other people's insight.
I saw that OP's bar for funding was about ~$50 per DALY averted in Oct 2023. Excerpt from OP below:
Some more questions:
How do GiveWell's current top charity recommendations each sit at $/DALY-averted?
Does that mean that we can expect a donation to GiveWell to be buying DALY-aversions for >$50? (But less than what?) (I know that doing this calculation is not always a great idea, but keen to know how OP and GiveWell are thinking about this if they have)
What are reasonable alternatives to consider in this space? (I'm aware of other great non-GHD donation opportunities)
Re:fully funded, my vague mental model is they have a list of projects, ordered in some way, and then they fill till they run out of money +/- saving for future opportunities. Would love to know whether this is accurate.
Cheers for the practical post question.