I'm a neartermist with 0.01<P(doom from AI)<0.05 on a 30-year horizon. I don't consider myself a doomer, but I think this qualifies as taking AI risk seriously (or at least not dismissing it entirely).
I think of my neartermism as a result of 3 questions:
Other reasons I'm not a longtermist / I don't do technical AI safety work:
Perhaps it would be useful to talk to someone alive in 1960 about how they carried about their lives under the constant threat of nuclear war?