Update: Seems like PEPFAR is back for at least 90 days.

Maybe, though if the pause itself will cause lots of harm, might be too many frictions to do so. Would work better if the ask is "restore PEPFAR after the pause." The other audience to target is pro-life evangelicals, which might be slightly easier on short notice

Thanks for the pointers!

I agree that a permanent stop is worse. Thanks for clarifying the situation during the pause; that sounds reassuring. Please keep the EA community updated!

Ok thanks, that matches my prior belief. However, I don't know if receiving organizations have the funding runway to keep programs running during the pause. Do we have good (back of the envelope) calculations about the effects of the full 90 day pause (even if it is reinstated)?

How sure are you on #1? I want to organize US folks to contact their representatives and senators, but want to be specific with the ask. Is it 1) waive the pause or 2) just ensure it comes back at the end of the pause? This link makes me believe that the pause itself is stopping PEPFAR-related work, but it sounds like you think NGOs will have funding to make it through the next month?

Is anyone in EA coordinating a response to the PEPFAR pause? Seems like a very high priority thing for US-based EAs to do, and I'm keen to help if so and start something if not.

Thanks for sharing. Based on this paper, the paper on the fact that many emergent properties of LLMs are a mirage, and Epoch's work on data scaling laws, I have greatly revised my estimates of the arrival rate of AI risks and benefits downward.

This project sounds intriguing, though I haven't yet read about its cost effectiveness on the website. As a side note, if they don't already, I think it would be useful for Charity Entrepreneurship or other non-profit incubators to make a concerted effort to reach out to people like you in the global south.

Doesn't seem worth it at that point since markets will start to clear, as in Iran, lowering counterfactual impact. At that point it largely becomes a question of earning to give.